Birding in Belize

Stopped trading before Xmas. 28.6% YTD in largest acct.

Inoue Ryosai Japanese Porcelain Figural Tsuru Crane Dish Bowl Tray 5.5”D c. early 1900s

Grey 10:19:10

MORE DOWN 2MORO, especially in view of the occurrence of the 10:19:10 print and a RAW EASE OF MOVEMENT less than minus 4.46. Today's was -10.57, as calculated by (KDH349minusKDH348)/(F349/(1000000*KDH349)). KDH349= (TODAY'S TNA HIGH PLUS TODAY'S TNA LOW)DIVIDED BY 2. F349 IS TODAY'S TNA VOLUME. TONGZHI ROSE PORCELAIN BRUSH WASHER POT SIGNED c.1862-1874 6.25”W x 3”H

LAST MINUTE MAROON 9:21:09

Last minute change in print suggests more down tomorrow. Silver becomes glass...

DALZELL, GILMORE & LEIGHTON EYEWINKIER (67-1) CANDY COMPOTE c 1889 7.5”H x 4.75”W

LIGHT BLUE 9:21:05

Took rest of profits yesterday. Plan to go back in tomorrow after a low is hit and the TNA HA 5 minute starts uptrending. Other similar 9:21:05 following pink 5:24:5's occurred 11/27/12, 8/8/12, 3/12/12 & 1/23/12.

PHILADELPHIA PLATE FIGURAL GOTHIC REVIVAL DOG BIRD GARGOYLE SYRUP PITCHER #121G c.1870’s 6.75“H

R has been Zero for 2 Days in Association with an Olive 12:24:05

R is part of the Ulcer Index Calculation. R=(100*(E15-MAX(E2:E15)))/MAX(E2:E15) where E is TNA close. R has been Zero for 2 Days in association with an Olive 12:24:05. This occurred on: 1/10/12, 1/19/12, 2/2/12, 7/2/12, and 11/29/12.

HILDITCH & SONS H & S Porcelain Cup c. 1822-1830

MONDAY WILL BE DOWN

Friday flashed a 5:24:5 for the 3rd day in a row...but this one looks pink rather than green a la Constance Brown's writings on halfpoint. If the print for the day is 5:24:5 and the STOCH C14/D19 HALFPOINT (14) and STOCH HA C14/D19 HALFPOINT (14) are both equal to 1, then the next day is down. Since 8/1/11 this occurred on: 2/3/12(REVERSAL), 4/27/12 (PULLBACK), 7/3/12 (REVERSAL), 9/7/12(PULLBACK), 10/17/12(REVERSAL), AND 11/23/12. THE ALTERNATING OUTCOME SUGGESTS A PULLBACK. C14/D19 HALFPOINT CALCULATION FOR LINE 19 (8/22/11) =E19-((C14-D19)/2+D19) =TNA CLOSE ON 8/22/11 (E19 = 35.87); yellow line) minus 8/22/11's LOW (D19=35.10) PLUS 1/2 X (THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE HIGH 5 TRADING DAYS BEFORE (THAT WAS WHEN THE MARKET REVERSED)

(C14 ON 8/14/11=48.98)& D19)=35.97-((48.98-35.10)/2+35.10)= 35.97-((13.88)/2+35.1)=35.97-(6.94+35.1)=35.97-42.04=-6.17

BLUE 12:24:12

UPTREND CONTINUES 2MORO.

BROOKLYN SILVERPLATE AESTHETIC ORNATE FIGURAL BIRDS GRAPES INSECTS SUGAR BOWL #701  c.1890s

TODAY WAS GREEN REVERSAL DAY.

WILL HOLD LONGS. MORE UP ON MONDAY

Elijah Cotton Lord Nelson Ware POMPADOUR

MINI REPEATER

LAST REPEATER FAILED

REPEATER IN PROGRESS

Olive 9:21:9

Looking for Green Reversal 2moro

2 up days (starting 2moro), 1 down day pullback, then another up day. Similar to 8/22/11, 12/14/11 & 4/10/12.

LABELLE GLASS QUEEN ANNE EAPG CREAMER- 143-3 c. 1880 5.375“ H X 5.5”W

More info on the Green Pullback Repeater

Another Repeater Has Been Playing Out

Monday and Tuesday should be down.

7 Day Repeater Complete

Gray 10:19:10 with positive PVI: Down 2moro. The green day was just a pullback.

Repeater is Still Playing Out

Red 13:21:13 today. Expect big down 2moro unless things change drastically today. If the last day of the repeater does play out, will watch whether the PVI goes negative 2moro to see if the green 3:19:3 on 9/20/12 was a pullback or reversal.

Repeater continues to play out (gold 3:19:3 yesterday and probable green 3:19:3 today)

One of the two prior

repeaters occurred at the beginning of Caldaro's P2. The other one occurred during P3 Major 2 Down (see prior posts for dates).

Repeater Playing Out

Repeater has played out so far: Pink 5:24:05 followed by maroon 9:21:09. Today signaled a grey 10:19:10 (supported by: STOCH MACD LINE (14)=1; CLOSE BELOW THE LOW OF THE 14 DAY MAXIMAL STOCH RSI; ALL UPWARD MARKET PROFILE CALCULATIONS #2A; HIGH NEG RAW EOM GRAY 10-19-10 DIFFERENTIATOR)

More down 2moro.

7 Day Repeater

The following formulas lit on 8/30/11, 3/26/12 and this past Friday: BLENDED DEMARK 3 RISING CLOSES; TD HA CLOSE- OPEN RANGE EXPANSION BREAKOUT (REBO) NEAR-TERM UPSIDE PRICE EXHAUSTION; R =0 (FROM ULCER INDEX); HA R =0; ALL S1 #2A; BLENDED HA GALLOWS PATTERN; ALL CMF VOLUME #3B; ALL CLOSE -TYPICAL PRICE #1A; STOCH ADL 3LB1 (14)=1; STOCH WILDER HA MOMENTUM FACTOR (14)=1; STOCH BLENDED S1 (14)=1

ALL STOCH NON-BLENDED MARKET PROFILE CALCULATIONS GRID SUGGESTS RED REVERSAL

Green 28:12:28

Yesterday's 28:12:28 turned out to be green which suggests that TNA will consolidate further with alternating up & down days. Today's 31:20:31 is related to orange 29:20:1 since the second most common mode for 3LB was 1. Monday should be down.

Heikin Ashi looks consolidative.

28:12:28

A grid involving: CHAIKIN MONEY FLOW VOLUME, BLENDED CHAIKIN MONEY FLOW VOLUME,HA CHAIKIN MONEY FLOW VOLUME & BLENDED HA CHAIKIN MONEY FLOW VOLUME suggests a similarity with 9/14/2011, 9/15/2011, 9/16/2011 &

9/19/2011. Thus more down 2moro. We'll see... A look at the: REPEATER VOLUME:PRICE DIVERGENCES #10AA:

=AND( 3 DAY MAX VOLUME :MAX CLOSE NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE (PRICE GOES UP MORE THAN VOL: EXPECT DOWN MOVE)for prior day=TRUE, 3 DAY MIN VOLUME : MIN CLOSE DIVERGENCE (VOL DROPS EVEN MORE BUT PRICES RISE) for prior day=TRUE,3 DAY MIN VOLUME : MIN CLOSE DIVERGENCE (VOL DROPS EVEN MORE BUT PRICES RISE) for current day =TRUE) lit up today and for two prior red (down) 28:12:28 days (9/19/11 & 1/13/2012). Only one green 28:12:28 occurred in the past 277 trading days.

Down today

Green vs pink 5:24:5s were analyzed. If the olive or blue days (e.g. blue 6:5:6/6:24:6/6:30:6/6:44:6 (6,14,15,25,27,33,36)) that precede the 5:24:5 day does not give a big enough up TNA day, then it is often followed by one or two more up days (i.e. a green 5:24:5). The green 5:24:5 day(s) have always been followed by a down pink 5:24:5 day that may represent just a pullback or a red reversal the next day (daily TNA analysis began 8/1/11). The 5:24:5 day will always be pink if the STOCH CHAIKIN MONEY FLOW VOLUME (14) reaches 1 or already begins to fall. The latter happened yesterday and on 12/27/11. The CMF Volume formula is (TNA Volume*((TNA CLOSE-TNA LOW)-(TNA HIGH-TNA CLOSE))/TNA HIGH-LOW RANGE

)

PINK 5:24:05

DOWN

2MORO. Last time it was a one day red pullback.

Blue 6:24:6

Expect Big Up 2moro.

Expect Up 2moro

Alternating day's (Today & this past Tuesday; orange arrows) with: TD RANGE EXPANSION BREAKOUT (REBO) NEAR-TERM DOWNSIDE PRICE EXHAUSTION The excel formula is =AND(Wednesday's close less than Tuesday's close,Today's TNA Close less than (Today's TNA Open-(Yesterday's High-Low Absolute Range)*(0.382))). This also occurred on 3/28 to 3/30/12.

Uptrend Repeater Confirmed

Expect down on Monday...

Volume:Price Divergence Triple Repeater Playing Out

Up again 2moro, then down on Monday. UPTREND REPEATER VOLUME:PRICE DIVERGENCES #8A 254/261 (THE 4 LAVENDER DAYS REPEAT)

VOLUME:PRICE DIVERGENCE PLAYS OUT

Let's see if we get the Green Reversal 2moro

Grey 10:19:10

Expect down day 2moro followed by green reversal on Wednesday. Strong similarity to 3/19/2012 thru 3/22/2012 by grid composed of: 3 DAY MAX VOLUME :MAX CLOSE NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE (PRICE GOES UP MORE THAN VOL: EXPECT DOWN MOVE); 3 DAY MIN VOLUME : MIN CLOSE DIVERGENCE (VOL DROPS EVEN MORE BUT PRICES RISE); 3 DAY MAX VOLUME :MAX CLOSE DIVERGENCE (VOL GOES UP BEFORE PRICE);3 DAY MIN VOLUME :MIN CLOSE POSITIVE DIVERGENCE (VOL STARTS GOING UP BEFORE PRICE STARTS GOING UP: EXPECT UP MOVE), and: ALL VOLUME: CLOSES DIVERGENCES UNTRUE.

29:40:05; Expect more up 2moro

Related to light blue 29:20:05/1:26:05/4:26:05(3,8,11,13,37,40). Formulas that lit include: EQUIVOLUME HA BEARISH ADVANCE BLOCK; HA RANGE DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR GRID =6; % CHANGE DEMARKIAN GRID =22; POSITIVE SLOW %K-%D DIFF; # OF 29:8:05 SECTION 2 TRUES PER ROW <2. An MTI Buy flashed yesterday. BEARISH ADVANCE BLOCK Three consecutive white days with higher closes each day. Each day opens within the previous body. Each day displays deterioration of the upward move as shown with the long upper shadows on the 2nd and 3rd days. Bullish Three White Soldiers Deliberation Psychology... This formation is similar to the Bullish Three White Soldiers formation. However, the Bearish Advance Block chart alerts traders to the weakness of the upside price action since the close of the second and third days are significantly less than their highs. (

note: it was a Heikin-Ashi Bearish Advance Block, which suggests recent consolidation rather than impending reversal)

Light Blue 9:38:5: Expect Up Day

A relative of 13:16:5/9:21:05/13:21:05/28:21:05(0,4,7,12,23,28,29,34,38). Positive formulas included: OPENS DOWN CLOSES DOWN; # OF ALL DO GRIDS REMAIN UNCHANGED TRUES PER ROW =0; FALLING FIBONACCI CLOSE 1,13; FALLING 1,21 THEN RISING 1,34 FIBONACCI CLOSE; RISING 1,8 THEN FALLING 1,13 FIBONACCI S1; FALLING 1,21 THEN RISING 1,34 FIBONACCI B1; 14 DAY MAXIMAL TREND OF % LOW TO CLOSE RANGE CHANGE TREND; B1 3LB GRID =9; % LOW TO CLOSE RANGE CHANGE DEMARKIAN GRID =3; LV FORMULA = HA OPENS BELOW PROJECTED HA LOW AFTER PRIOR DAY HA CLOSE>HA OPEN & RECENT RISE IN HA RANGE; NW FORMULA = 2 NEGATIVE FOLLOWING A POSITIVE CLOSE-PLDOT REVERSE DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR; # OF YELLOW 11:3:11 SECTION 2 TRUES PER ROW BOTH less than 5 & greater than # PRIOR ROW TRUES;

Pink 5:15:5

Expect pullback 2moro. 7 DAY HA SELLING PRESSURE LOW GRADIENT UPWARD REVERSAL; ALL RANGES/ ALL CLOSES #6; % HA CHANGE DO GRID 4 THEN 5; 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA STOCH RSI; 14 DAY MAXIMAL TREND OF % LOW TO CLOSE RANGE CHANGE TREND; STOCH HA CLOSE-OPEN RANGE/ HA CLOSE (14)=1; HA CLOSE LOCATION VALUE DO BULLISH HARAMI; CHAIKIN MONEY FLOW(5) DO GRID REMAINS UNCHANGED; FR FORMULA = 3 DAY CCI LOW GRADIENT UPWARD REVERSAL-4 DAY TNA HIGH

Brown 2:3:2

Brown 2:3:2 this past Friday, which predicts a pullback down day after Friday's green reversal day in the Russell 2000. HA BULLISH HARAMI lit on 11/28/11(-0.70%), 2/23/12 (-0.62%), 5/21/2012 (-1.54%), 7/13/2012 (-0.92%), and this past Friday, which is one of many formulas that confirms the Brown 2:3:2/2:20:02 (8,11,13,26,37) print complex.

3:39:3

Expecting a green reversal 2moro. Yesterday's positive formulas suggesting the LAST RED DAY BEFORE GREEN REVERSAL:

INVERTED ROOF; HA TD DEMARKER II OSCILLATOR 3LB GRID =10; CLOSE BELOW THE LOW OF THE 14 DAY MAXIMAL RANGE RSI; CLOSE BELOW THE LOW OF THE 14 DAY MAXIMAL BALANCE OF MARKET POWER, and; FALLING CCI TO LESS THAN -10

10:17:10

Expect more down 2moro. Today's novel 10:17:10 print is related to the bidirectional 10:19:10. The TNA REVERSE FRACTAL formula includes a higher then lower high, a higher then lower low with rising volume on the 3rd day. Downward grey 10:19:10s occurred in association with the TNA Reverse Fractal on 2/21/2012, 2/27/2012, 3/28/2012, 4/4/2012, 7/20/2012, and today. The middle bar of the reverse fractal was a LOW VOLUME UPTHRUST: "PROS ALREADY SOLD OUT WITH NO DEMAND SELL TNA" associated with 9:16:09/9:21:09 on 3/27/2012 & 7/30/2012.

WALDO 7A PROSPECTIVE BOTTOM lit in conjunction with 10:17:10/GREY 10:19:10 on 2/21/2012,7/20/2012, and today. TNA close greater than close 6 days before (light blue arrow) and rising TNA open (when compared with previous day) one day previously following a falling open (when compared with previous day) two days previously

(curved dark blue arrow). Another interesting grey 10:19:10 associated formula that lit is DECREASE IN RANGE WITH INCREASE IN VOLUME. It also lit on 4/4/2012, 5/14/2012, 7/20/12 and today.

9:16:9

Bidirectional. Many formulas suggest it is a close relative of down maroon 9:21:9, including: 14 DAY MINIMAL RWI HIGH (10). see: http://www.alltrading.info/technical-analysis/44-indicators-technical-analysis/168-rwi-random-walk-index; ZB FORMULA = HA HI-LOW < PRIOR HA HI-LOW WITH HA UPTREND. We'll see. HA is Heikin-Ashi. This formula lit in association with maroon 9:21:9 on 11/4/11 and 10/28/2011.

Pink 5:6:5

Monday will be down.

One of the many formulas that lit in association with 5:05:5/5:06:05/5:15:05/5:24:05/5:25:05/5:27:05/12:36:05(14,30,33) was the 14 DAY MAXIMAL DAILY TNA ROC(5)-ROC(3): 10/6/2011 (pullback in uptrend), 2/3/2012 (red reversal), 3/9/2012 (pullback in uptrend leading into multiday consolidation), 6/6/2012 (pullback in uptrend leading into multiday consolidation), and this past Friday.