UPTREND ELEMENTS

MODE OF 3LB GRIDS ELEMENTS FOR DOWNTRENDS

Yesterday's 11 Mode of the 3LB GRIDS (confirmation of a Green Reversal) appeared most of yesterday but evaporated in the end day sell off to lay down another 3. Threes can repeat within a downtrend, but ultimately give the Green Reversal. The daily elements of the current downtrend have been 6-9-10-3-3. The daily element is used to "try" to predict the next day's price action for TNA.

7 DAY CCI HIGH GRADIENT (3 DAY) DOWNWARD REVERSAL- & 4 DAY TNA LOW

RED WHITE CANDLES & THE 6-9-10-3 3LB GRID MODES

Will tomorrow's 3LB GRID mode be an 11 (just like 11/2/11)?

TNA STOPPING VOLUME TODAY

The downhill skier slams on his brakes on volume higher than the mean volume for the past 6 days (black lines) and TNA price closes in upper third of price bar. Another TNA Green Reversal?

6-9-10-3

3LB GRID mode today was 3 with a PVI Demarkian/Reverse Demarkian Oscillator GRID of 19 (the same as 11/1/11). Am looking for a green reversal tomorrow.

Analysis of 6-9-10

Five Days in Late October 2011 (10/25/11-10/31/11: 3LB Daily GRID Modes: 9-4-6-9-10) were compared with the past five trading days (27-1-6-9-10). Only the HA Ultimate Oscillator 3LB GRID Modes matched on the first day. Then there was a cascade of matching GRID modes. Each GRID was a formula involving 2 day closes, Demarkian and Reverse Demarkian Oscillators (DO) for one of 39 indicators evaluated. DOs were not used for RSI, ADL & OBV formulas.

6-9-10

Each of the three numbers (i.e. 6-9-10) represents the mode of the day's 3LB GRIDS for 39 indicators.

CLOSE ABOVE THE HIGH OF THE 14 DAY MINIMAL TREND OF TREND

CLOSE ABOVE THE HIGH OF THE 14 DAY MINIMAL TREND OF TREND rang on Friday (yellow short vertical line). The 14 Day Minimal Trend of Trend rang repeatedly in the four light blue boxes. A close above the high of the past 4 days are displayed both in the Table and by the short vertical lines on the TNA chart. The first two blue boxes occurred during an uptrend, whereas the second two boxes occurred during downtrends. Longer Green & Red Lines depict Reversals. The sole signal associated with the third box was a red resumption (short dark pink vertical line).The last box signals were a red reversal and the yellow line (?a red resumption as well?)

Large then 3 Small then Large Range

TNA Range = TNA High minus TNA Low. A large range (blue or yellow arrow) was greater than 3. A small range was less than 3. It rang twice as a Continuation Pattern (followed by resumption of short term trend) and once as a Reversal Pattern. Green & Red Reversal arrows are also shown to show direction of short term trend.

Daily TNA HA

Daily TNA HA still red with consolidative bars. Negative divergence of TNA highs & TSI and TNA highs & CCI.

Expect Monday to be Red Resumption

Three successive down days meant that we did get the Red Reversal. Yesterday's up day was more likely a pullback in the downtrend rather than a green reversal. All of the 12 green pullbacks since last August were

followed by a red resumption day rather than a 2nd green pullback day. The first chart represents the Outcomes of the 35-36 GRID for the Eight Day Volume Trend minus Current Day Volume Demarkian & Reverse Demarkian Oscillators since last August. Three 35-36 combos occurred. The first one predicted a green resumption followed by a red reversal (this is not applicable to the current situation since TNA fell for 3 successive days (i.e. red reversal)). The second 35-36 grid predicted a next day green pullback (35) followed by a subsequent day red resumption (36) respectively. In the second and third 35-36 Grids, a down day (35) with high volume (i.e. relative to the eight day trend), was followed by a lower volume up day (36). Expect the Yellow arrows to repeat the latter GRID outcome. The second chart represents the Outcomes of the 10-49 GRID for the Eight Day Range Trend minus Current Day Range Demarkian & Reverse Demarkian Oscillators since last August. Two 10-49 combos occurred. The first 10-49 grid predicted a next day green pullback (10) followed by a subsequent day red resumption (49) respectively. In the two 10-49 Grids, the TNA High minus Low Range increased over the two days. The third chart represents the Outcomes of the 29-2 GRID for the Close Location Value Demarkian & Reverse Demarkian Oscillators since last August. Close Location Value=((TNA CLOSE minus TNA LOW)minus(TNA HIGH minus TNA CLOSE))/(TNA HIGH minus TNA LOW). Two applicable 29-2 combos occurred. The first 29-2 grid predicted a next day green pullback (29) followed by a subsequent day red resumption (2) respectively. In the two 29-2 Grids, the Close Location Value Demarkian Oscillator fell then rose. The fourth chart represents the Outcomes of the 16-2 GRID for the Chaikin Volatility (7) Demarkian & Reverse Demarkian Oscillators since last August. Chaikin Volatility (7)= AVERAGE(7 day TNA Range)-AVERAGE(prior 7 day TNA range) where Range=(TNA HIGH minus TNA LOW). Two applicable 16-2 combos occurred. The first 16-2 grid predicted a next day green pullback (16) followed by a subsequent day red resumption (2) respectively. In the two 16-2 Grids, the Chaikin Volatility (7) Demarkian Oscillator remained flat, whereas the TNA close fell. The fifth chart represents the Outcomes of the 40-41 GRID for the FAST %K-%D DIFF (14) Demarkian & Reverse Demarkian Oscillators since last August. Two applicable 40-41 combos occurred. The first 40-41 grid predicted a next day green pullback (40) followed by a subsequent day red resumption (41) respectively. In the two 40-41 Grids, the FAST %K-%D DIFF (14) Demarkian Oscillator rose as the red & black lines crossed up. No more ice.

3/19 Did Not Predict a Red Reversal

The 3/19 CLOSE-PLDOT DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR =100 signal lit. This has not occurred (since last August) with either Green or Red Reversals. 3/19 was a Green, Up (TNA) Resumption Day. Yesterday's (3/20) down day (good for TZA) therefore suggested a Pullback in TNA (i.e. Red Pullback) rather than a Red Reversal. PLDOT=(AVERAGE(C162,D162,E162)+AVERAGE(C161,D161,E161)+AVERAGE(C160,D160,E160))/3 Line 162 =3/19/12; Line 161= 3/16/12; Line 160=3/15/12; C=TNA HIGH; D=TNA LOW & E=TNA CLOSE On 3/19/12 the PLDOT was 62.7011 & the TNA CLOSE-PLDOT was 1.34889. Today should be another upwards TNA Resumption.

TD Wave 5 Confirmed Today

34 DAY MAXIMAL CLOSE ENDS WAVE 4 ESTABLISHES TD WAVE 5 IN PROGRESS as of today (3/19/12). Although TNA had both Daily HA and MTI buys, am cautious about a pullback before further up.

Grey Iron

Friday's Down TNA Day Was Not a Reversal

TD REI=100 WITHIN 4 DAYS AFTER 14 DAY MAXIMAL TNA WILDER ASI was true on 3/16/12. This signal has lit 16 times since last August (1 Red Reversal, 5 Green Continuations, 5 Green Pullbacks and 5 Green Resumptions). This signal does not predict Red (Buy TZA) Continuations or Resumptions nor Green (Buy TNA) Reversals. This pattern is similar for all TD REI=100 WITHIN 4 DAYS AFTER 14 DAY (PARAMETER) SIGNALS studied. Friday was therefore a Red Pullback Day. The signal most likely suggests a Green Resumption (i.e. TNA up day) on Monday. A second Red Pullback Day is less likely since

only three of the last 22 TNA Pullback Days were a second pullback day.

Despite a Down Day...

GLL

Want today's CCI greater than

127 for a buy.

$NASI HA & TD WAVE

TYH

TYH CCI GREATER THAN 100. HEIKIN ASHI WITH LONG GREEN CANDLE.

CUMULATIVE INDICATORS

Numerous signals lit today (e.g.s 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA CHAIKIN VOLATILITY(7), 14 DAY MAXIMAL ELDER RAY BULL POWER, 14 DAY MAXIMAL CLOSE LOCATION VALUE, YUM-YUM, 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA RANGE, HA BULLISH ENGULFING, 14 DAY MINIMAL CMO (20) TREND, 14 DAY MAXIMAL TD DEMARKER II OSCILLATOR, 14 DAY MAXIMAL BALANCE OF MARKET POWER, 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA RWI LOW (10), 14 DAY MAXIMAL WILLIAMS BUYING PRESSURE ULTIMATE OSCILLATOR, 14 DAY MAXIMAL A/D VOLUME, 14 DAY MAXIMAL CHANGE IN CLOSE TO NEXT OPEN * RAW MONEY FLOW, 14 DAY MAXIMAL FI (5) USING EMA, 14 DAY MINIMAL DAILY TNA ROC(5)-ROC(3), etc.). Cumulative NEXT DAY

results for these signals since last August: 16% chance of Reversal, 36% chance of Pullback and 48% chance of upward Continuation. This distribution is not significantly different from the last 155 days of TNA trading by Fischer's exact test. YUM-YUM=(TNA RANGE GREATER THAN AVERAGE(7 DAYS PRIOR TNA RANGES) & TNA CLOSE GREATER THAN MAX(LAST 7 TNA CLOSES)). YUM-YUM SIGNALS FOR NEXT TRADING DAY: 2 REVERSALS (SELL TNA), 5 PULLBACKS, AND 5 TNA CONTINUATIONS.

HA UUP

The USD is poised for a rise. UUP has a long green candle, the CCI is greater than 100 and the Heikin Ashi Diff is positive (blue line minus yellow line). The blue line represents the HA Close minus HA Open. The yellow line is a 3 days SMA of the blue line. If today's CCI stays above 100, can buy UUP and sell at tomorrow's close.

Expect Pullback Friday

The 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA STOCH RSI (black arrows) lit today and on 11/29/2011, 10/6/2011, 11/30/2011 & 12/27/2011. Today's GRIDS were analogous to GRIDS on the latter 3 dates which were all followed by pullbacks.

Waldo 6A Lit Yesterday (Prospective Bottom)

Five Waldo 6A lit ups since last August. Three were premature (i.e. during downtrend). Waldo 6A =AND(TNA OPEN LESS THAN MIN(LAST 8 TNA OPENS),(TNA OPEN-E143)>(PRIOR DAY TNA OPEN-PRIOR DAY TNA CLOSE))

Further GRID Review Suggests Upward Reversal

This includes GRIDS related to all of the following signals that lit on 3/6/12: 14 DAY MINIMAL ELDER RAY BULL POWER 14 DAY MAXIMAL % HIGH TO CLOSE RANGE CHANGE 14 DAY MINIMAL PVI 14 DAY MINIMAL CLOSE-PLDOT 14 DAY MAXIMAL 2 DAY VOLATILITY 14 DAY MINIMAL HA RANGE 14 DAY MINIMAL FO(20) 14 DAY MINIMAL CMO(20) 14 DAY MINIMAL HA TD DEMARKER II OSCILLATOR 14 DAY MINIMAL TD DEMARKER II OSCILLATOR 14 DAY MINIMAL HA CLOSE-HA PLDOT 14 DAY MINIMAL HA RWI LOW (10) 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA RWI HIGH (10) 14 DAY MINIMAL HA GLASER SELLING PRESSURE ULTIMATE OSCILLATOR 14 DAY MINIMAL HA WILLIAMS BUYING PRESSURE ULTIMATE OSCILLATOR 14 DAY MINIMAL GLASER SELLING PRESSURE ULTIMATE OSCILLATOR 14 DAY MINIMAL WILLIAMS BUYING PRESSURE ULTIMATE OSCILLATOR 14 DAY MINIMAL OBV 14 DAY MAXIMAL STOCH PVI(14) 14 DAY MINIMAL CHANGE IN CLOSE TO NEXT OPEN * RAW MONEY FLOW 14 DAY MINIMAL FI (5) USING EMA 14 DAY MINIMAL CCI(20) 14 DAY MINIMAL STOCH RSI 14 DAY MINIMAL HA RSI 14 DAY MINIMAL RSI 14 DAY MINIMAL CHANGE IN CLOSE 14 DAY MINIMAL MACD-SIGNAL LINE DIFF 14 DAY MINIMAL % CHANGE 14 DAY MAXIMAL (HIGH+LOW)/2 TREND-CLOSE 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA TREND 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA TREND-HA CLOSE 14 DAY MAXIMAL TREND-CLOSE 14 DAY MINIMAL HIGH 14 DAY MINIMAL LOW 3 NEGATIVE HA CLOSE - OPEN RANGES WALDO 6A PROSPECTIVE BOTTOM LOW HI-LOW RANGE/ CLOSE WITH LOW VOLUME These signals have been lighting on & off for the last 5 days as the market has moved downwards.

14 Day Minimal PVI yesterday & 4 days ago with analogous GRIDS

Expect down day tomorrow (GRIDS analo

gous to 3 days ago)

TZA on MTI Buy Since 3/2/12

TZA CCI greater than 100,Green AO, White KH, TSI rising for 2 days, RSQR saucer.

DEMARK WAVE 4 CONFIRMED ON 2/29/12

13 DAY MINIMAL CLOSE ESTABLISHS TD WAVE 4 IS UNFOLDING. See: http://instigator928.blogspot.com/2012/02/td-d-wave.html

WALDO 7B ALSO PLAYING OUT

Waldo 7B (yellow arrows) = PRIOR DAY TNA HIGH LESS THAN TNA HIGH 2 DAYS AGO (red arrows), TNA HIGH 2 DAYS AGO GREATER THAN TNA HIGH 3 DAYS AGO (blue arrows), AND TNA CLOSE LESS THAN TNA CLOSE 6 DAYS EARLIER (black arrows). 3/1/12 & 9/29/12 were both DeMark Waldo 7B days. The next days (3/2/12 & 9/30/12) were both downward resumption days for TNA (i.e. a good day for TZA). The 3LB GRIDS on these days are similar suggesting another down day on Monday.

14 DAY MINIMAL CLOSE LOCATION VALUE GRIDS Play Out

The 14 DAY MINIMAL CLOSE LOCATION VALUE GRIDS played out yesterday and look similar for a down day Monday (see prior post)

ASI PEAK REVERSAL GRIDS PLAYING OUT

The ASI PEAK REVERSAL GRIDS played out yesterday (pink arrows)

with a down day (see last post). Predictive GRIDS for 12/12/11 & this coming Monday are similar and suggest another down day.

WILDER'S ACUMMULATIVE SWING INDEX PEAK REVERSAL, 2 FALLING CLOSES on 2/29/12

Read Wilder's early books for great formulas including the ASI (he later flipped out). Similar Predictive GRIDS on 12/8/11 & 2/29/12 (Blue Arrows predicting a TNA Downtrend Pullback, i.e. up day) and on 12/9/11 (predicts TNA down day: a 3 day downtrend followed) & 3/1/12 (yellow arrows).

14 Day Minimal Close Location Value Yesterday

Close Location Value=((TNA close-TNA low)-(TNA high-TNA close))/(TNA high- TNA low). Yesterday's GRID was similar to the 2/15/12 GRID (Blue Arrows)

which predicated a pullback up day similar to today. Today's GRID is similar to 2/16's GRID, which suggests resumption of the downtrend on Friday. Same deal with 2/10/12 & 2/13/12.

Reverse TNA Fractal Yesterday (Blue Arrow)

Yesterday's GRID was similar to the Reverse TNA Fractal GRID on 10/17/11. Today's 3LB GRID similar to 10/18's GRID which was followed by a down day (yellow arrow)

.