Tuesday, December 21, 2010
EUO & YCS Cup & Handles
Michael Aronstein/Mark Faber videos
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SDuiPD4qbXw&playnext=1&list=PL9838BF5DFCAF69EF&index=18
1) V shaped Recovery (MA)
2) EDC beats TNA long term (MA), but 20-30% emerging market correction over next 6 months (MF) (Hold EDZ)
3) Yield curve flattens (MA) (?raise TYO to TMV ratio?)
4) Is the market at the Purple Arrow? (?TZA time?)
Monday, December 20, 2010
Daily & Weekly Chart Trends
Euro Double Short seems ready to pop on the daily. TMV & TYO are consolidating (downward) within a longer term uptrend. CZI & EDZ are more "along" than FAZ, TZA & DRV, but still need MTI (Momentum Trend Indicator) Buy Confirmation. With the exception of EDZ, every ETF listed is currently consolidating (i.e. Absolute CCI is less than 100)
Sunday, December 19, 2010
Saturday, December 18, 2010
CT 2-Associated RUT Top Most Likely In
Please refer to prior post: During the past 12 years there have been 15 Complex Nasi Tops. Two of them shared common characteristics with the current top. The RUT Aroon Top Line stayed green throughout. The NASI CT 1 price was higher than the NASI CT 2 price, whereas the RUT CT 1 price was lower than the RUT CT 2 price. The $BPCOMPQ crossed though the NASI CTDL (please refer to: http://instigator928.blogspot.com/2010/12/bpcompqnasi-divergence-to-detect.html). The number of CTDL NASI Renko boxes was greater than the number of CTUL NASI Renko boxes. The number of CTDL RUT Renko boxes was less than the number of CTUL RUT Renko boxes. All three Complex Tops had a CT 2-Assoc DAILY RUT Chart MTI SELL, but the CT 2-Assoc WEEKLY RUT Chart MTI Remained a buy (hold). CTUL and DL RUT price changes were all over 9.8%. RUT Prices tend to peak before the NASI goes red The latter occurrence confirms the CT 2. A review of these three NASI CTs suggest that the RUT peak is in. CT 2 confirmation seems very close at hand.
Friday, December 17, 2010
Resolution of Ichimoku NASI Top Issue
Please see: http://instigator928.blogspot.com/2010/12/nasi-ichimoku.html for the dilemma that needed resolution. This was precipitated by a NASI Icon-Cloud abutment issue. It wasn't a completed NASI Complex Top...it was a Nasi Complex Top in progress (only CT 1 was done). So what happens to RUT Aroon during these complex tops? Ichimoku charts for RUT with Aroon were analyzed. The RUT Aroon top line can stay green throughout the Complex Top in association with a bottom red line that can trend up in a sawtooth fashion (see 13-10). Same thing happened in April 2010 (see 12-10), May-June 2009 (see 11-10), May-June 2008 (see 10-10), Nov-Dec 2006 (see 9-10), Dec 2005 (see 7-10). Rules for NASI Icon-Cloud abutment are not applicable to the RUT.
Thursday, December 16, 2010
Wednesday, December 15, 2010
Sell on $RUT Daily Chart
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Monday, December 13, 2010
What's Bump'n?
TYP Buy Signal at 3:15 PM Today
Sunday, December 12, 2010
NASI RSI(14) to Define NASI Tops & Bottoms
NASI Tops (CT 1,CT 2 or ST) are defined as having an NASI RSI over 50, whereas NASI Bottoms (CB 1, CB 2 or SB)are defined as having an NASI RSI less than 50. The yellow box is an example where the hump was an Uptick rather than a Simple Top by RSI. This negated the prior inflection from being labeled as a Simple Bottom (wide pink arrow0.
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