Mixed Signals: In Cash

Big down day...Traded in & out of TZA. The following rang at the close: TZA BOP (UD), HX (TNA FOSC CALC) TRIN TD REI OR TZA>TRIN PLDOT (UD), GK (TNA FOSC CALC)>24-TNA>TRIN TD REI OR VIX>TRIN PLDOT (UD), FOSC EMV, TICK/TRIN OPEN BUY TZA; TNA CV FOSC NEXT DAY 2 CHANNEL; DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP; TZA BOTTOM BREAKOUT-TICK TOP REVERSAL-TD CHANNEL TNA 1L(UD), DECLINING TNA-TRIN KVO 10D RATIO, DEMAWT & TRIN 0.328 DIP 24D MIN BUY TNA
ARCADE RACER. Tommorrow is the Run Out East to the Pindar Winery.

Mixed Signals:Still in Cash

Missed today's run-up. That's OK. It's more important not to lose money. The following rang at the close: MARKET PROFILE TRENDING AM;UP DAY-TRIN DEMARKER PARALYSIS OR VIX WILLIAMS-PRIOR DAY:UP DAY-2D PRIOR: TZA 3DE (UD), VIX 1L-TZA 2L-PRIOR DAY:TRIN 2U(UD), TZA BEARISH 3 INSIDE DOWN-TNA BLACK CANDLE OR VIX WILLIAMS (UD) BUY TZA;TRIN PLDOT, TRIN SHOOTING & NVIDEMAWT SELL TNA; TNA CV FOSC NEXT DAY 3 CHANNEL; BULLISH MORNING VIX DOJI(UD), TNA BULLISH HARAMIS 3 INSIDE UP(UD), DECLINING TRIN KVO(UD),WALDO TNA 7B-PRIOR DAY: TD CHANNEL VIX 1U(UD), TNA/TZA TD REI BUY TNA
1907 Rolls Royce Silver Ghost Franklin Mint

Mixed Signals: In Cash

Took TNA profits in AM. The following signals rang at the close: MARKET PROFILE TRENDING AM; TZA DEMA TRENDED HARAMI (UD), TNA-TZA DEMARKER DIFF TNA-TZA-VIX R FACTOR 3 (UD), WALDO TICK 7B & TZA REDWHITE CANDLE BUY TZA; TRIN NR-WR JUMP SHIP; TICK DOWNSIDE MID CLOSE:OPEN CLOSE-RISING TNA & TZA TD REI (UD), TNA/TICK BLACK CANDLE & TNA NASI-KAGI DIFF BUY TNA.

Who was visitor 2325?

It was someone from Singapore. Could it have been Anabell Chong?

Buy TNA

Sold TNA in the early AM for some small gains before the downward onslaught. The following signals rang at the close: TD CHANNEL TNA 2L NEXT DAY CP; TNA SHOOTING, TRIN WILLIAMS, TZA DEMAWT, VIX WILLIAMS SELL TZA; TNA DEMAWT & R FACTOR JUMP SHIP; 2 DOWN DAYS-ALTERNATING TRIN PLDOT-RISING TNA PLDOT-FALLING TZA & VIX PLDOTs-3 RISING TD REIs (UD), POSITIVE TNA & TZA KAGI-TICK:TRIN OPEN-LOW TNA:TRIN 10D WT CLOSE (UD), MID TZA-MID VIX R FACTOR 8 (UD), MODIFIED TRIN ABSORPTION (UD), TRIN WILLIAMS TOP REVERSAL 2 BAR UPTHRUST, TD CHANNEL TZA 1U, TNA DEMAWT, TZA DEMAWT & TRIN 0.618 DIP 24D MAX BUY TNA; MARKET PROFILE TRENDING AM; TZA TB BUY TZA. TNA positions were established towards the close.
BRIMTOY No.LNER 0-4-0T TANK LOCO & TENDER

Expect another CP Day Tomorrow

Waited all day for TZA to make its run. Took profits at the end of trading and established TNA postions (not always an easy task when TZA "decides" to keep running to the bell). The following signals rang at the bell: TZA BOTTOM BREAKOUT SAME DAY CP; DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP; TICK BOTTOM BREAK JUMP SHIP; TRIN TD REI CALC-NEGATIVE TNA PLDOT-FALLING TRIN TD REI (UD), GLAZFOSC (UD) & TZA DAILY FOSC 10D RATIO BUY TNA; DOWNTICK TNA DEMARKER ALTERNANS-TRIN>TNA>TZA TD REI-TRIN>TNA PLDOT-NEGATIVE TNA PLDOT (UD) BUY TZA
Rare 1930s BV81A Headlight Barclay Wrecker

3/31/10 Revisited

LHIYC Club Champion Trophy

Lake Hopatcong Ice Yacht Club Perpetual Trophy

Feb 22nd-part two

The TNA PLDOT calculation utilized is ROUNDDOWN((((AVERAGE(BQ330:BS330)+AVERAGE(BQ329:BS329)+AVERAGE(BQ328:BS328))/3)-BQ330),2)...so the PLDOT minus TNA CLOSE is being calculated. The true PLDOT calculation is the mean sum of the average (i.e. mean) TNA close, high & low for three straight days. So if TNA starts at 0 and goes up one point a day for 3 days and the high-low range was one point each day (lets say it opens at its low and closes at its high) the TNA PLDOT =(AV(0+1+1)+AV(1+2+2)+AV(2+3+3))/3=(2/3+5/3+8/3)/3=(15/3)/3=5/3. The PLDOT CALC for the 3rd day is 5/3-3=
-1.3333 (i.e. the PLDOT minus the 3rd day's close). In the days leading up to the Black TNA Hammer, the TNA PLDOT (CALC) was negative and rising. The gap between the PLDOT and CLOSE was narrowing each day as TNA was stalling out. The TNA PLDOT CALC was -.51 on the Black Hammer day. It was -0.75 the day before and went up to 0.98 in association with TNA's fall on 2/23. The TNA DEMARKER PARALYSIS also suggested a stalling in TNA's movement. TZA & the VIX were in a downtrend by 3 day Gann Swing Charting suggesting that the move down might be temporary. The Waldo VIX 6A also suggested a temporary VIX bottom (The VIX went up as TNA declined on 2/23 but then resumed its fall). The stalling TNA Black Hammer was associated with low TZA volume (and TNA volume). Volume spurted up the next day.

February 22nd Revisted

The following signals rang at the close on 2/22/10:TNA BLACK HAMMER-TRIN>TNA>TZA TD REI-TZA>TNA PLDOT-NEGATIVE TNA PLDOT, TZA REDWHITE SHOOTING-TNA>TZA TD REI-VIX>TZA PLDOT-RISING TNA & TZA TD REI-RISING TNA PLDOT-FALLING VIX PLDOT, LOW TZA CLOSE*VOLUME-TRIN PLDOT OR VIX BOTTOM BREAKOUT, TNA DEMARKER PARALYSIS, TZA REDWHITE CANDLE (fighting it's way up), TNA BLACK CANDLE (stalling out), TNA HAMMER, DOWNTREND TZA/VIX GANN 3D SWING(should get a short blip), WALDO VIX 6A(temporary bottom) & low TZA CLOSE*VOL 10D RATIO BUY TZA. TNA formed a black hammer (it closed higher than the prior day but lower than the open towards the top end of its trading range). TZA did the opposite (shooting redwhite candle). The TNA TD REI had been rising because TNAs rise was starting to dissipate. The REI calculation used is =(100*((BR330-BS330)+(BR329-BS329)+(BR328-BS328)+(BR327-BS327)+(BR326-BS326))/(MAX(BR326:BR330)-MIN(BS326:BS330)))...so if over a 5 day period,TNA went up a point a day and also had a one point high-low range, the TNA REI would be 100*(1+1+1+1+1)/5=100. If TNA went sideways for 5 straight days (i.e. 5 CP days in a row with alternating up & down days)and the daily high-low range for TNA was still one, the TNA REI would be 100*(1+1+1+1+1)/1=500. The TNA TD REI on 2/22 was 148. The day before it was 121. TNA was going up good but then started stalling out. Thus, the black hammer and rising TNA TD REI. The next day TNA dropped by 3.5%. The TNA REI went up to 235 that day.

TZA Positions Established Near the Close

The following signals rang at the close: TRIN KAGI, TRIN REDWHITE CANDLE & TNA TD REI-TZA TD REI-TRIN TD REI-TNA PLDOT-TZA PLDOT-TRIN PLDOT-PRIOR DAY: TD CHANNEL TRIN 1L-TRIN 2L OR WALDO TICK 6A (UD) BUY TNA; MARKET PROFILE TRENDING AM; DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP; TICK BOTTOM BREAK JUMP SHIP; TNA PLDOT, TZA PLDOT, DEMAWT & NVI DEMAWT SELL TNA; 2 DAY TRIN:TZA TD REI RATIO>1.9-TRIN>TZA>TNA TD REI-NEGATIVE TRIN PLDOT (UD), WALDO TZA 7B, VIX HAMMER & TICK-TRIN CLOSE BUY TZA; NEXT DAY OPEN-HIGH FOR >3%.
Hang on for Monday...

A Paucity of Signals: In Cash

Took TZA Profits in AM. The following rang at the close:MARKET PROFILE TRENDING AM; TRIN OPEN, WALDO TICK 7A BUY TNA; TRIN HARAMI HOOK JUMP SHIP

TZA Positions Established Before the Close

The following signals rang at the close: WALDO TRIN 6A BUY TNA;TRIN BOT BREAK SAME DAY CP; TZA PLDOT, TZA TD REI, VIX BOTTOM BREAK SELL TNA; HX (TNA FOSC CALC)TRIN TD REI OR TZA>TRIN PLDOT (UD), GK (TNA FOSC CALC) > 24-TNA>TRIN TD REI OR VIX>TRIN PLDOT (UD) BUY TZA.

Mixed signals

Took a bunch of TNA profits. The following rang at the close:HS (TZA DEMAWT CALC)LESS THAN MINUS 4.4-NEGATIVE TNA PLDOT-RISING TNA TD REI BUT LESS THAN TZA REI (UD), TD CHANNEL TZA 2L BUY TZA; TZA TOP REVERSAL 2 BAR UPTHRUST (UD), TRIN OPEN (UD), TRIN KAGI, TNA-TZA-TICK 0.382 DIP 24D MAX BUY TNA. Suspect that we are in a TNA Channel.

Buy TNA

The following signals rang: TZA BOTTOM BREAKOUT SAME DAY CP; TNA REDWHITE CANDLE, TNA HAMMER BUY TZA; MARKET PROFILE TRENDING AM; R FACTOR CHANNEL START; VIX DEMARKER MOVE PARALYSIS(UD), TRIN 3.618 BLIP 24D MAX-TNA HAMMER-WALDO TRIN 7B(UD), WALDO TICK 6A(UD), WALDO TNA 7B-PRIOR DAY:TD CHANNEL VIX 1U(UD), TNA LOW VOLUME, TZA BLACK CANDLE, TRIN REDWHITE CANDLE BUY TNA. Traded in & out of TNA in the latter half of the trading session. Also holding TNA postions overnite. Looking for a yellow up day tomorrow. Metalcraft Sunshine Biscuits Truck

Four Negative PLDOTs on Friday

2/23/10 was the only other TNA trading day that ended with 4 negative PLDOTs (i.e. the close was below the PLDOT value for TNA, TRIN, TZA & VIX). Both days were big down days, with high TRIN closes and TRIN-Kagi & TNA-Kagi discordance. Last time we had an up day following this pattern. We'll see what's cooking on Monday.
Pair of Ovenbirds identified in Merriewold front yard today.

In Cash

All those BUY TZA signals rang for a reason. Added an R Factor related ELT for the failed TICK BLIP Reversal signal. The following rang at the close:CV FOSC CALC SAME DAY CP; HX (TNA FOSC CALC)<-16-TNA>TRIN TD REI OR TZA>TRIN PLDOT(UD), GK (TNA FOSC CALC)>24-TNA>TRIN TD REI-VIX>TRIN PLDOT(UD), TNA EMV ABSORPTION(UD), GLAZFOSC(UD) BUY TZA; TRIN OPEN(UD), MODIFIED TRIN ABSORPTION BOTTOM (UD), TD CHANNEL VIX 1U-DEMA TRIN TOP-LOW TNA-TRIN 10D WT-CLOSE(UD), TICK ABANDONED BABY-RISING TNA TD REI-FALLING VIX PLDOT (UD)BUY TNA. The $NASI & TRIN Kagi both went negative. In cash for this battle.
Manoil Cannon Car.

Up, up & away....

Traded in & out of TNA throughout the day. Mixed signals at the close: WALDO TZA 6A, VIX SHOOTING, VIX DEMARKER ALTERNANS, VIX R FACTOR 10D RATIO, DECLINING TNA-TRIN KVO 10D RATIO, TNA-TZA -TRIN CV EMV 10D RATIO, TRIN 0.5/TRIN 0.618 DIP, DOWNTREND TZA GANN 3D SWING BUY TZA; TNA TD REI SELL TNA; TICK BLIP REVERSAL (UD), WALDO TZA 6A, VIX DEMARKER MOVE BUY TNA; NEXT DAY OPEN-HIGH FOR >3%
Alot of the signals were "SELL TZA," but TNA still had the only previously reliable Unidirectional Signal (UD). Am searching for the non-winter Horned Grebe...

Big Up Day

Traded in & out of TNA. Across the board market is in uptrend by Ichimoku Clouds, TRIN Kagi, TNA Kagi, TZA Kagi, American Bull Candlesticks & NASI. The following signals rang at the close: BUY THE GAP; TNA 3DE (UD), TNA 7B-PRIOR DAY TD CHANNEL VIX 1U (UD), TRIN REDWHITE CANDLE, TICK TD DIFF, VIX 7B BUY TNA; TRIN NR-WR JUMP SHIP; TICK 0.382 OR TICK 0.618 DIP-WALDO TICK 6B OR TNA 7A BUY TZA (UD); TZA PLDOT & TICK/TRIN CLOSE SELL TNA. (UD)are previously reliable unidirectional signals. Held some TNA positions at the close. Winter Horned Grebe seen at Gateway Marina, March 2010.

Who was the 2300th visitor?

It was someone from Brooklyn, NY. Could it be the Kangaroo Kid? Nah...it was Donald.

Took TNA Profits...now in cash

After a clearout, market progressively went up. Took TNA profits in the last half hour of trading. Stayed in cash because of numerous mixed signals: CLEAROUT NEXT DAY 2 CHANNEL; TRIN 0.618 DIP JUMP'N ONE; HIGH VIX R FACTOR 10D RATIO & TD CHANNEL TNA 1L-PRIOR DAY:TICK BOTTOM BREAK, HI K KLM (TNA-TZA-VIX) R FACTOR 4, WALDO TNA 7A, TRIN 0.618 DIP, TNA CV FOSC, TZA S TD DIFF BUY TNA; TNA*TZA PLDOT PARALYSIS, WALDO TNA 6B, DEMAWT, TZA DAILY FOSC 10D RATIO, VIX R FACTOR 10D RATIO, DECLINING TNA-TRIN KVO 10D RATIO, TRIN 0.5 DIP BUY TZA; TNA PLDOT, TNA REI & DEMAWT SELL TNA

Expect another up day tomorrow

The following signals flashed at the end of trading: TICK TOP REVERSAL, MID TZA-MID VIX R FACTOR 8, RISING TNA-TRIN KVO 10D RATIO, TRIN/TNA CV, TRIN 1.618 BLIP 24D MAX & TNA TD REI BUY TNA; R FACTOR CHANNEL START; WALDO TZA 6A-VIX 6A DECLINING VIX HIGH-PRIOR DAY: TZA 7B & VIX S TD DIFF BUY TZA; TNA TD REI SELL TNA. The first 4 signals have been reliable.
One of a kind 1920's CAW Propellor Racer

CP Day Today

TNA was bought late in the day yesterday because of a MODIFIED TRIN ABSORPTION BOTTOM BUY TNA signal. TNA subsequently ran up quickly so profits were taken until the closing bell stopped the selling. Some TNA postions were still held at today's open. These shares were sold at a profit towards the end of trading. TNA ultimately closed down so the MODIFIED TRIN ABSORPTION BOTTOM BUY TNA was deemed a failed signal for the trading day. The following signals flashed at the close: MARKET PROFILE TRENDING AM; DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP; TICK/TRIN OPEN SELL TZA; MODIFIED TRIN ABSORPTION BOTTOM, TZA DAILY FOSC 10D RATIO & TZA BLACK CANDLE BUY TNA; TNA DEMA CALCULATION-TICK REDWHITE CANDLE-TZA PLDOT OR TICK TRIN CLOSE BUY TZA The latter signal has been the most consequential thus far. TZA postions were established.

TNA keeps going up

Took TZA profits in the first half hour of trading, then TNA took over...Did work on the 2 failed PLDOT/TD REI signals. Only one unidirectional signal rang at the close: 2 DAY NEGATIVE TNA KVO DIFF CALC-VIX 7B-PRIOR DAY:TNA 6B BUY TZA. Sell TNA signals continued to flash. In cash now.

Tuesday should be down

Two reliable TD REI & PLDOT BUY TZA signals relating TNA,TRIN & TZA flashed at the close.

Monday should be another up day

The following signals rang at the close: MARKET PROFILE TRENDING AM, VIX REDWHITE CANDLE BUY TNA, NR-WR & TNA BOTTOM BREAK NEXT DAY 2 CHANNEL, WALDO TRIN 7B-TICK HAMMER-TRIN 2.618 BLIP 24D MAX, WALDO TNA 7B-PRIOR DAY:TD CHANNEL VIX 1U, TRIN TS TD DIFF, TNA WT CLOSE LOW VIX R FACTOR 9, TRUE TNA HARAMI, TNA KAGI-NASI DIFF BUY TNA,
DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP, R FACTOR CHANNEL START, VIX REDWHITE CANDLE BUY TZA, TZA TD REI & TICK SELL TNA. Five of the signals are reliable unidirectional up signals.