Year ends with 4 Day CP

The year ends with a 5 day TNA upchannel followed by a 4 day CP.
Keel-billed Toucan, Belize

Be Back After New Years

Taking off on vacation. 1930's Cast Iron Hubley Giro.

Buy TZA (see disclaimer above)

The TNA upchannel was confirmed today. Three signals rang at the closing bell: BUY THE GAP (i.e. today's gap...too late!), DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP, & TRIN WILLIAMS TOP REVERSAL 2 BAR UPTHRUST BUY TZA. The CP would suggest that one should speed away with any TZA profits.
White Metal 1:43 AMR Momo Penthouse Porsche 935 Turbo.

The Ice is Here!

North American Ice Opti Racing Association '08_HQ from Daniel Hearn on Vimeo.

Leave it to the kids to bring cool back to sailing. These little dudes, and chicks, too (bonus!), are rockin’ the house, hard water style with their Opti rigs mounted on some ice boats. Almost makes you wanna move to a northern clime, don’t it!? (Dan Hearn)

Mixed Signals: Take TNA Profits

Four signals flashed at the end of the trading day: DEMAWT TZA BUY, TNA HAMMER SHOOTING BUY TNA, TRIN RED/WHITE CANDLE BUY TNA & TNA CV FOSC NEXT DAY 2 OF CHANNEL. TNA profits were taken before the weekend and an ELT was established for the failed T WILLIAMS TOP REVERSAL 2 BAR UPTHRUST signal. If the DEMAWT TZA BUY signal is wrong, it appears that we are in an TNA up channel (number Y36). The 1930s Manoil soldier will be on the lookout.

Buy TNA (updated)

Four signals flashed: TICK/TRIN OPEN SELL TZA, PLUS/MINUS ALTERNANS BUY TNA, DEMA TRINTOP TNA BUY, & T WILLIAMS TOP REVERSAL 2 BAR UPTHRUST BUY TZA. Despite the conflicting last signal it was elected to buy TNA, since there was no TNA upleg to reverse. If TNA rises tommorrow, an ELT will be warranted for the latter indicator.
Hopefully the yellow-rumped warbler will bring us a yellow day.

Speed off with TZA Profits

White Metal 1:43 ADB Ferrari 206 SP

Buy TZA (updated)

Four signals flashed today: TNA CV FOSC CALC SAME DAY CP, R FACTOR CV FOSC JUMP SHIP, TNA CV FOSC BUY TZA & VIX/TICK BLACK CANDLE BUY TZA. The latter 3 signals suggest that TZA should be bought. It is unclear whether tommorrow will be another CP day or whether a new TZA channel is about to start.

Buy TNA (updated)

It was another low TNA candle-volume day (0). An ELT was added for the NEXT DAY OPEN-HIGH FOR >3% signal. The TZA BUY/TNA SELL signals "won" in the end, so ELTs were added for the VIX DEMARKER TNA BUY & THE VIX DEMARKER MOVE BUY TNA signals. Throughout the last half hour of trading today, multiple TNA BUY signals flashed. At the end of the day 4 signals flashed: DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP, DEMA TRINTOP TNA BUY,
TICK/VIX TOP REVERSAL BUY TNA & to confuse matters, TRIN SHOOTING TZA BUY. Tommorrow may be another whipsawing low candlevolume consolidation day. Take profits and fly away...

Doobeed by Dubai

Yeah... there's a reason for the disclaimer...Two successive up days puts us into up yellow TNA channel number Y35. ELTs were put into place for the 3 failed TZA buy signals and the 2 failed DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP Signals. Six signals flashed by the end of the day including: VIX DEMARKER MOVE BUY TNA, VIX DEMARKER TNA BUY, NVIDEMAWT TNA SELL (it utilizes the 1 YEAR NEGATIVE VOLUME INDEX),TRIN DEMARKER TZA BUY, VIX HAMMER BUY TZA, and NEXT DAY OPEN-HIGH FOR >3%. The latter signal suggests that one could wait for tommorrows open. Whichever of the two ETFs opens higher (TNA or TZA) should go up at least 3% more before it settles back down. For now..a Doobeed Brown Booby...

Who was the 1575th visitor?

It was someone from Denison, Texas. Could it be Spanky? George Robert Phillips "Spanky" McFarland (October 2, 1928 – June 30, 1993) was an American actor most famous for his appearances in the Our Gang series of short-subject comedies of the 1930s and 1940s. The Our Gang shorts were later popular after being syndicated to television as The Little Rascals. Prior to joining the Our Gang comedies, Buddy, as he was called by his family, modeled children's clothing for a Dallas department store and also was seen around the Dallas area on highway billboards and in print advertisements for Wonder Bread. This established "Buddy" early on in the local public's eye as an adorable child model and provided experience before cameras. In January 1931, in response to a trade magazine advertisement from Hal Roach Studios in Culver City, California, requesting photographs of "cute kids," Spanky's Aunt Dottie (Virginia's sister) sent pictures from Buddy's portfolio. An invitation for a screen test soon arrived, which happened that spring, leading to his acting career. After his discovery at the age of three, he instantly became a key member of the Our Gang children's comedy movie series and one of Hollywood's stars. His earliest films show him as an outspoken toddler, grumpily going along with the rest of the gang. His scene-stealing abilities brought him more attention, and by 1935 he was the de facto leader of the gang, often paired with Carl "Alfalfa" Switzer, and always the enterprising "idea man." Switzer's character became as much of a scene stealer as the young McFarland was, and the two boys' fathers fought constantly over screen time and star billing for their children. Following the 1938 Our Gang short Came the Brawn, McFarland "retired" from Our Gang, beginning a personal appearance tour.[3] In mid-1938, Hal Roach sold the Our Gang unit to Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer, who began casting for a new "team leader" character in Spanky's vein and ended up rehiring McFarland himself. He remained in the MGM Our Gang productions until his final appearance in the series, Unexpected Riches, in 1942 at age thirteen. In 1952, at age 24, McFarland joined the U.S. Air Force. Upon his return to civilian life, indelibly typecast in the public's mind as "Spanky" from Our Gang, he found himself unable to find work in show business. He took less glamorous jobs, including work at a soft drink plant, a hamburger stand, and a popsicle factory. In the late 1950s, when the Our Gang comedies were sweeping the nation on TV, McFarland hosted an afternoon children's show, "Spanky's Clubhouse," on KOTV television in Tulsa, Oklahoma.[wiki]

Poor Attitude!

Buy TZA

Disclaimer see above. TNA went up today. An ELT was added to yesterday's FOSC EMV BUY TZA signal. Four signals flashed at the end of trading today: TRIN DEMARKER BUY TZA, DEMAWT BUY TZA (formula 1), DEMAWT BUY TZA (formula 4), and DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP. The latter signal suggests that one should take any TZA profits and run on Monday. Thus, the 1930's Cast Iron Hubley No. 8 Racer.

TZA Channel Continued

ELTs were established for the recent DEMAWT JUMP'N ONE, TNA DEMA TRENDED HARAMI, TNA TRUE HARAMI & the TRIN FOSC NEXT DAY CP signals. A DEMAWT NEXT DAY CP signal flashed for tommorrow along with a VIX HAMMER BUY TNA & a FOSC EMV BUY TZA signal. It was elected to put things on ice & stay in cash during this low TNA Candlevolume (CV) EMV period. Candlevolume readings for the last 4 days have been 0, -32, -1 & 60, respectively. Typical absolute CV readings during strong up or down channels are typically in the hundreds to thousands.
1930's Arcade Cast Iron Ice Truck

Take TNA Profits and Race Away

See last night's post.
BV54 1930s Barclay slush racer

Who was visitor 1560?

It was a returning visitor from Victoria, Australia. Could it be Charles Joseph La Trobe (1801-1875) La Trobe is probably the best known person of Huguenot descendant in Australian history. He was the first Lt-Governor of Victoria, and saw that colony through its difficult early years. His dedicated and high-minded influence on government affairs is only now beginning to be appreciated. His family originated in Languedoc in the South of France. La Trobe's first book, The Alpenstock: Or Sketches of Swiss Scenery and Manners, was published in 1829 and his second, The Pedestrian: A Summer's Ramble in the Tyrol, came out in 1832. As tutor or mentor La Trobe accompanied the dashing young Count Albert de Pourtalès during a tour of America which began in 1832. They visited the chief cities of North America and sailed down the Mississippi to New Orleans, and then toured the prairies with the American author, Washington Irving. According to Irving, La Trobe 'was a man of a thousand occupations; a botanist, a geologist, a hunter of beetles and butterflies, a musical amateur, a sketcher of no mean pretensions; in short, a complete virtuoso; added to which he was a very indefatigable, if not always a very successful, sportsman'.

TZA Channel May Have Ended Today

A 2 day TZA channel may have ended today. Yesterday's JUMP'N ONE SIGNAL is supportive. An ELT was added for yesterday's R FACTOR DEMAWT CALC SAME DAY CP signal. Two Buy TNA signals flashed at the end of trading today: TNA DEMA TRENDED HARAMI & TRUE TNA HARAMI. In addition a TRIN FOSC NEXT DAY CP signal flashed, suggesting that TNA profits should be swiftly taken tommorrow.
BBR Resin 1:43 Ferrari 410SA Superfast

Mixed Signals

Three signals flashed at the end of the trading day: R FACTOR DEMAWT CALC SAME DAY CP, R FACTOR DEMAWT CALC SELL TNA & TICK R FACTOR JUMP'N ONE. The first (same day CP signal) may be the best since TZA went up today, TNA went up yesterday and today's TNA Candlevolume EMV (Ease of Movement) calculation was low (-32). The JUMP'N ONE signal would suggest that we have one more day of a TZA channel. The SELL TNA Signal would be an indirect way of supporting this notion. The two sets of signals would suggest opposite positions (TNA vs. TZA, respectively). It was decided to stay in cash. Let's see what comes up on tommorrow's radar.

Take TZA Profits

No new signals. Will keep on the look-out.
Manoil mine sweeper (1930's slush).

Take TNA Profits

One signal flashed at the end of the trading session: TRIN HARAMI BUY TZA, suggesting that we are in a CP. The formula for the DEMAWT TRIN HARAMI NEXT DAY CP was reevaluated. Liberalization of the TRIN Candlevolume EMV cut-off to <301, would have just added today as a positive signal. The latter would suggest that Monday will be a CP and not the first day of a new down-channel. If a good TZA position can be established early on Monday, one should run like a bandit with any profits to buy more TNA by the close. Look out for the cops and of course, the disclaimer above. BV 49B 1930s Barclay Slush Radio Police Car.

Who was the 1500th visitor?

It was someone from Saratoga, California. Could it be Martin McCarty?
Martin McCarty was born in County Clare, Ireland in 1825 and emigrated about 1846. He was in New Orleans when the Mexican American War broke out and served in the military,remaining in the army until 1849. He came to California and worked in the mines where he reportedly made $20,000 in seven weeks. When Martin McCarty was 27 years old, he married Hannah Barry. They were wed in San Jose about 1852. Hannah Barry was 17 years old, a native of County Wexford, Ireland who had immigrated to the United States and to San Jose a few months earlier. Together they filed for a 320 acre homestead claim in the West Valley and laid out the lots for a little town. The McCarty's named their little town McCartysville and proceeded to sell town lots for interested home builders. They also built a number of buildings themselves which they rented. Unfortunately, the McCarty's soon found themselves in something of a dilemma. They thought their home sites were outside the boundaries of the Quito Rancho. To their dismay, they found when an accurate survey of the Quito Rancho was made, some of their property was included. Adjudicating all of the improper rancho claims through the early California legal systems took several years and the McCarty's were finally able to file a second plat of their little town, which they did in 1862. They were forced to buy the land they had already developed from the legal owners of the land grant. The McCarty's acquired 128 acres, less than half of their first claim. Martin McCarty was killed in an accident in 1864, leaving his widow with four young children. She continued developing her property even when the name of her town was changed in 1865 from McCartysville to Saratoga. Properties in the little town of Saratoga faced the two streets, Lumber Street and Oak Street. Lumber Street was the business street with stores, hotels, the blacksmith, livery stables and a few residences here and there. Oak Street was much quieter and was the road leading up to the cemetery. The Village School was located on Oak Street along with the Congregational Church, the parsonage and several other homes. It was a quieter and safer street, away from the large lumber wagons that came down the hill from the mills. Hannah McCarty had generously donated some of her Oak Street land as a permanent site for the Saratoga school. She established a large vineyard surrounding the school site and built a house on Lomita, over looking her acreage. When she died suddenly in 1893, she had made plans to begin residential development of the vineyard property. Hannah McCarty was only 58 years old when she died, and she did not leave a will. The probate records of her estate reveal the extent of her real estate holdings which included many of the business buildings in Saratoga Village. Over the years she had built a number of stores and residences, and she managed the properties with the help of her son. So for nearly fifty years, Saratoga Village was a reflection of the development interests of the McCarty family. Their town was built into the side of a ravine overlooking picturesque Saratoga Creek. It was just two streets wide and three blocks long, ending at Sixth Street. The village included all of the shops and businesses that were important at the time; the post office, a bank, hotels, several stores, real estate offices, churches and a school. (written by April Halberstadt)

BUY TNA (updated): see disclaimer above

The expected sell-off occurred very late in today's session. In the closing moments 3 TNA BUY Signals flashed: BULLISH MORNING TICK DOJI BUY TNA, KAGI BUY TNA & the VIX DEMARKER BUY TNA (with its recently added ELT). The market's direction should switch just like the Roco Electric Loco pictured.

Extreme Limit Test (ELT) found for VIX DEMARKER BUY TNA. ELT Formula is =((J276-I276)/H276)/((J275-I275)/H275)<1.45. Today's value was an outlier at 4.53. ELT parameters include TNA R FACTOR (H), TZA R FACTOR (I) & $VIX R FACTOR (J).
Barclay 1930's slush race car

Stay in Cash

Yesterday's DEMAWT JUMP'N ONE signal suggested that today would be the last up day of the channel and that TZA should be bought prior to today's close. However there were mixed signals towards the trading close so a cash position was maintained. Post close the following signals flashed:
TZA WILLIAMS TNA SELL, VIX WILLIAMS SELL TNA, DEMAWT TZA BUY, & VIX DEMARKER TNA BUY. The other TNA BUY signals no longer flashed at the close. An ELT may be necessary for the VIX DEMARKER TNA BUY.
Red Bellied Woodpecker for the next POSSIBLE Down Day.

Take TNA Profits

Later...

HOLD TNA...BUY MORE (Updated)

SEE DISCLAIMER ABOVE. Only one signal flashed at the end of the trading day: DEMAWT JUMP'N ONE, which suggests that one should hold the current course in the channel for one more day and then JUMP SHIP tommorrow. Up channel Y34 should continue into tommorrow.
1920 Arcade Cast Iron Ford Tudor Sedan, on a steady course...

Who was the 1450th visitor?

It was my old compatriot Colonel Norman Wiard. Colonel, your persistence is appreciated. Interesting book you wrote: Wiard, Norman. GREAT GUNS. THE CAUSE OF THEIR FAILURE AND TRUE METHOD OF CONSTRUCTING THEM. NY: 1863. 1st ed., wraps, 98p., illus., diagrams, tables. This pamphlet, written for the government’s edification, documents the failures of the military’s heavy ordnance. These shortcomings would presumably be corrected by the author’s designs. Wiard did design several excellent artillery pieces for the War Department. Inscribed to Union General Nathan P. Banks “MG N. P. Banks”; wrps., in fold. protective bds.; lt. fox; lt. stain; else v.g.; $475.00

CP vs. Move Acuity Measure

Futures are up. Yesterday's JUMP SHIP & CHANNEL START indicator signals would have suggested a switch from TNA to TZA. A formula involving VIX Demarker change, closing price change and daily high-low difference was developed. Values between 900and 1550 occurred during Consolidative Periods (CP). Yesterday read >5000, suggesting that the new channel had already started. The formula may function to identify CP days and as an ELT for days with alot of stock movement. It was elected to stay with the TNA because of the acuity of yesterday's price moves.
Anatidae Anas platyrhynchos, Mallard Duck, on the move...

A New Channel is Starting

TNA initially went down today (a TZA KAGI BUY signal that was missed on Friday 11/27 because of improper formula entry on the excel sheet was located mid-day today...an ELT utilizing the Friday's extreme TRIN Demarker reading was integrated because TNA subsequently went up at the close). Four indicators signaled at closing time today:
R FACTOR JUMP SHIP, R FACTOR CHANNEL START, TNA HAMMER BUY TNA & TICK/TRIN CLOSE BUY TZA. The R FACTOR JUMP SHIP indicator signals that the ETF should be sold and the opposite ETF should be bought. The R FACTOR CHANNEL START indicator signals when a new channel is starting. It moves in conjunction with the R FACTOR JUMP SHIP indicator. The last two signals are conflicting.
Pelecanidae Pelecanus occidentalis Brown Pelican, Immature

Dubai Down Day: Buy TNA

Usual DISCLAIMER. The day was marred by the developments in Dubai and by increased margin requirements for leveraged ETFs. Two TNA Buy Signals flashed at the end of the abbreviated trading day: R FACTOR BUY TNA and TZA ABSORPTION EMV BUY TNA. Absorption is reviewed in Williams's excellent book on volume: http://www.esnips.com/doc/8ebeca88-7efa-49ea-841c-86e27f212b55/The-Undeclared-Secrets-That-Drive-Stock-Market#
The latter signal's formula is =AND(FD273>1.15,EY273100,EY273<(FA273+0.67*(EZ273-FA273)),EY273>(FA273+0.33*(EZ273-FA273)),FS273>0). Modifications include TZA daily ease of movement (FS), TZA candlevolume EMV (GO), and TZA daily volume/prior day volume ratio (FD).
1904 Cast Iron Kenton Elephant-drawn Cairo Express.

Sell TNA (updated)

Still in CP. Sold TNA at a small profit. In view of negative end-day TNA return, ELTs were added for VIX DEMARKER 2 TNA BUY, VIX DEMARKER 3 TNA BUY, and TICK TOP REVERSAL BUY TNA. Will stretch & rest for the holiday weekend after early AM rounds, just like an Anhinga. (She's really drying her wings).

Buy TNA (updated)

Later...See Disclaimer above. TNA prices strengthened at the close, causing the TNA FOSC to reverse a positve CP signal. The CP may or may not be ending at this point. If it ended today, we may be entering a yellow up channel. Three indicators signaled a TNA Buy: VIX DEMARKER 2 TNA BUY, VIX DEMARKER 3 TNA BUY, and TICK TOP REVERSAL BUY TNA. The formula for the latter indicator is : =AND(BA271<2.87,DD271<77,ABS(EQ271)>0.05,GS271*GV271<1.55,HT270>1,HU270>1.2,HV270>2,HW270<2.2,(ABS(HT271-HU271)<300),HV271-HW271>0). HT, HU,HV,& HW are the Tick open, close, high & low respectively. DD is the TRIN demarker indicator. EQ, GS,& GV are TZA FOSC calculations. BA is a TNA Klinger Volume Oscillator calculation.
Here's a Golden Fronted Woodpecker in honor of the Front End of a POSSIBLE Yellow Channel.

Beeline for this Book

Meropidae Merops orientalis: Little Green Bee-eater sighted at the Masada Great House, Israel, Feb 2008

VIX R Factor Continues to Signal CP

No other signals. Took TNA profits in AM. Will remain in cash.
Wilkin's 18.5 inch Cast Iron Firetruck

VIX R Factor also Meets Cut-off Criteria

See Disclaimer above. The VIX R Factor also meets cut-off criteria for a CP. TNA futures are up. Take the profit today and run like a bandit.
Cast Iron AC Williams 1926 Lincoln Touring Car "Gangster Sedan"

CP Identification via R Factor & TNA DEMAWT

Whipsawing prices during consolidative periods (CP) can be challenging. Cut-offs for TNA R Factor along with calculations related to TNA DEMA minus TNA Closing Price and TNA WEIGHTED CLOSE - TNA Closing Price, were utilized to detect CPs for TNA. Here's a tidbit on R Factor analysis: http://iahs.info/redbooks/a212/iahs_212_0049.pdf
As of Friday's close, a CP was identified for TNA. This suggests that if TNA rises on Monday, take profits before the trading day ends.
Arcade loco with 150 tender XR75 & XR50 gondola.

TNA $4.67 Capital Gain Paid; Hold TNA

See Disclaimer above. TNA was down >12% at the open, whereas TZA was only up <1% because of a capital gain payment. TZA had a 0.49% gain for the day, so ELTs were added for the TRIN WILLIAMS TOP REVERSAL 2 BAR UPTHRUST BUY TNA, & TICK/TRIN CLOSE BUY TNA signals. The Sell TZA signals were not modifed. By the end of today's trading day, two new TNA Buy signals were flashing: VIX DEMARKER 2 TNA BUY & TNA LOW VOLUME BUY TNA. The formula for the latter indicator is: =AND(S267<0,S266<0,P267<0.91,AB267<0,GY267 less than GY266 and GY266ES266,(EQ267+EQ266)>-1.36) which includes daily percent price change (S), daily volume ratio change (P), TNA FOSC Signal line (AB), TNA Demarker Indicator (GY), TNA BOP (ES), and the daily change in TNA FOSC calculations (EQ).
15 inch Pileated Woodpecker Dryocopus pileatus sighted upstate New York, November 1995.

Buy TNA (updated)

Later..See Disclaimer above...There were 3 TZA Sell signals: TRIN SHOOTING TZA SELL, TICK SELL TZA, & TICK/TRIN CLOSE SELL TZA and; 2 TNA Buy signals: TRIN WILLIAMS TOP REVERSAL 2 BAR UPTHRUST BUY TNA, & TICK/TRIN CLOSE BUY TNA.
Alcedinidae Megaceryle alcyon Belted Kingfisher sighted at Hermitage Golf Course, Nashville Oct 1996

Take TZA Profits

later....
Alcedinidae Ceryle rudis Pied Kingfisher sighted at Caesaria Harbor, Israel Feb 08

Accumulate TZA (updated)

Usual Disclaimer...The TICK/TRIN OPEN BUY TZA signal flashed throughout the afternoon. The formula is: =AND(P253>0.61,P253<1.49,FS253>-7.5,HA253>-2.16,HA253<3.15,HD253>19,HD253<84,BZ253*IA253>-108,IA253/BZ253>-120,IA253/BZ253<79,FH253>0). Parameters include TNA volume changes (P), the TZA FOSC Signal Line (FS), a TZA FOSC calculation (HA), the TZA Demarker Indicator (HD), calculations for the Trin open (BZ) & Tick open (IA),and the TZA per cent change (FH).
Rallidae Fulica atra Common Eurasian Coot, sighted at the Hula Swamp, Israel with Lester & Jake Feb 2008

Doji Day: No new signals

We are neither in an up (yellow) nor down (red) channel. These consolidative periods (CP) usually last 1-3 trading days. Since TNA began trading in 11/08, there were 38 consolidative periods. One lasted 4 days, one lasted 5 days, and three CPs lasted over six days, with the rest lasting three days or less. The last CP for TNA/TZA was 11/10, 11/11 & 11/12/09. TNA closed at 41.8 on 11/9 and closed at 39.46 on 11/12. TNA declined by 5.6% during this CP whipsawing.
1930s Slush CWV12A MIDGET COUPE RACER made by Charles A. Wood

Who was the 1400th hit?

It was someone from Annapolis, Maryland. Could it be George Bancroft, the founder of the Annapolis Naval Academy? George Bancroft (October 3, 1800 – January 17, 1891) was an American historian and statesman who was prominent in promoting secondary education both in his home state (MA) and at the national level. During his tenure as U.S. Secretary of the Navy, he established the United States Naval Academy at Annapolis in 1845. He also gave the orders which led to the occupation of California, and sent Zachary Taylor into the contested land between Texas and Mexico. He also continued his pleadings for the annexation of Texas as extending "the area of freedom," and, though a Democrat, opposed slavery. (Wiki)

Interesting Volume Divergence

See link to Afraid to Trade.com Blog in My Blog List...

Pratt & Letchworth (Buffalo) cir.1895 NYC & HRRR Cast Iron Locomotive (1039) with Steel Freight Cars (1665)

Monster up day

Monster up day...put in ELT for TICK/TRIN CLOSE BUY TZA [raised VIX DEMARKER(HI) cut-off to >20]. Eliminated the other indicator from the excel sheet. Now getting numerous TNA Sell signals (TICK/TRIN OPEN, TZA WILLIAMS, VIX WILLIAMS & DEMAWT SELL TNA) & one TZA Buy signal (TICK HAMMER BUY TZA). We'll see...
Gruidae Grus canadensis Sandhill Crane sighted at PGA National Resort & Spa Florida Jan 1997

Here's a Useful Book

There's a used copy on Amazon for $9.48.

Columbidae Zenaida asiatica White-winged Dove, sighted at People's Perch, Ambergris Caye, Belize, Dec 05

Who was the 1385th hit?

It was someone from Buenos Aires, Argentina. Could it be Juan Manuel Fangio? Fangio (June 24, 1911 - July 17, 1995) was a race car driver from Argentina, who dominated the first decade of Formula One racing. He won five World Championship titles — a record which stood for 46 years — with four different teams (Alfa Romeo, Ferrari, Mercedes-Benz and Maserati), a feat that has not been repeated since. For these achievements, and because of the time they were accomplished, he is considered by many as the "greatest driver of all time".

Buy TZA (updated)

Later. Usual Disclaimer in place...Two signals flashed late in the trading session: DEMAWT TNA SELL & T WILLIAMS TICK MODIFICATION 2 TRUES BUY TZA: There are 2 formulas for the latter, and both need to be positive on the same day for it to signal a TZA Buy.
1.=AND(IH262>IH261,IH262>IH260,IH262>IH259,(IH262-IG262)<480,(IH262-IG262)>0)
2.=AND(IH262>IJ261,IJ262>IJ261,ABS(IH262-IJ262)>400,(IH262-IJ262)>1197)
Parameters include the Tick Close (IH), Tick Open (IG), Tick Low (IJ) & Tick Open (IG) for successive days.
When the first formula is positive on day one and the second formula is positive on day two, it signals a TNA Buy. The candle patterns are adapted from T. Williams's on-line book...see: http://www.esnips.com/doc/8ebeca88-7efa-49ea-841c-86e27f212b55/The-Undeclared-Secrets-That-Drive-Stock-Market#
Gruidae Grus grus Common Crane sighted (25,000 of them) at Hula Lake, Northern Israel, on the Syrian-African Rift, with Jake, Feb 2008.

Sell TZA (updated)

Take profits...Later....A VIX WILLIAMS SELL TZA signal flashed late in the day. The formula is: =AND(EW261<4.415,HJ261>-25,ABS(HK261-HM261)>2.1,AA261>-19.56,DQ261<11.81,HP261>HR260,HR261>HR260,ABS(HP261-HR261)>1,(HP261-HR261)>1,(OR(ABS(CO261)<0.078,ABS(CO261)>0.178)),HP261>HP260,HP261>HP259,HP261>HP258,(HP261-HO261)<13,(HP261-HO261)>0,EZ261>0.45,EZ261<0.88), which includes parameters such as: TZA FOSC calculations (EW & HJ), a TNA/TZA Demarker calculation (HK & HM), the daily TNA FOSC (AA), a TRIN KVO calculation (DQ), VIX open, close & low calculations (HO, HP & HR), a TRIN DEMA & weighted close calculation (CO), and the TZA BOP (EZ). The Hooded Merganser was sighted at the Wild Dunes Golf Course on the Isle of Palm, S. Carolina.

Buy TZA

Two TZA Buy Signals towards the end of the trading day: DEMAWT TZA BUY & TICK HAMMER TZA BUY. Formula for DEMAWT TZA BUY: =AND(HJ260<-0.6,CZ260<9,ABS(AI260)<14221,HJ260>-4.27,FX260>-11.04,FX260<6.04,HP260<64,HN260<89.36,BF260>-361,FP260<1.32,FP260>0.76,FB260<0.12,CH260>0.4,CH260<1.58,FN260<0,GJ260<3.98,GK260<2.875,S260>0,GK260>-3.511,ABS(GT260)>0.34,CR260>0.17,CR260<0.39,GJ260>-9.74) which includes: a daily & 2 hour TNA FOSC calculation (HJ),the TRIN Candlevolume EMV (CZ), the daily TNA EMV (AI), the daily TZA FOSC (FX), the TZA Demarker Indicator (HP), the TNA Demarker Indicator (HN), the TNA Candlevolume EMV (BF), TZA volume/Prior day TZA volume (FP), TZA BOP (FB), TRIN close (CH), TZA price percent change (FN), TZA DEMA - TZA Price Calculation (GJ), TZA Weighted Close - tza Price calculation (GK), and TRIN DEMA - TRIN Weighted Close calculation (CR).

Doji Day TZA up

Up channel (Y32) completed. Need to be more careful with excel sheets. Kagi TNA Buy signal & NVIDEMAWT TNA SELL were not true, once sheet adjusted. An ELT utilizing the TRIN Klinger Volume Oscillator was added to the false TRIN DEMARKER BUY TNA signal. The TZA LOW VOLUME BUY TZA signal was for real. Will remain in cash for now, since there were no new signals today.

Mixed Signals

There was a mid-day and end-day KAGI TNA BUY signal (this signal does not have an ELT). The rare, LOW VOLUME TZA BUY signal subsequently flashed. Traded in & out of TNA for a small profit. Now back in cash. The LOW VOLUME TZA BUY formula is as follows: =AND(GA258<0, FB258>FB257, HR257-1.36,FR258<0.8,HR258less than HR257). The formula includes 3 successive days of the TZA daily demarker falling (HR), 2 successive days of a rising TNA BOP (FB), a negative TZA daily FOSC Signal line (GA), TZA volume/TZA prior day volume (FR) <0.8, and a calculation involving the daily TZA FOSC & signal line for two successive days. A TRIN DEMARKER TNA BUY Signal & NVIDEMAWT TNA SELL also flashed. Thus, the cash position.

Buy & Sell Signals found for Completed 2 day Up Channel (Y32)

Further analysis found TICK HAMMER TNA BUY signals at the conclusion of trading on 11/4/09 & 11/5/09 and a TICK TNA SELL signal at the conclusion of Friday's trading. Open, close, high & low price data for TNA, TZA, $TRIN, $VIX & TICK since 11/5/08have been entered onto an excel sheet along with a variety of associated indicators. The TICK HAMMER TNA BUY signal formula is as follows: =AND(CR4<0,GL4<5.99,ABS(GL4)>0.8999,ABS(HD4)>147,OR(DT4>1.96,DT4>-3.07),HR4<99,OR(HP4<19,HP4>88),II4>-1007,II4<1126,FA4>-1.721,FA4<6.893,AB4>-4.08,AB4<7.78,CT4>-0.53,CT4<0.405,EH4>-2.24,EH4<4.51,GV4>-1.19,GV4<1.1,FB4<0.77,FB4>-0.81,HO4>-7.892,HO4<0.59,OR(DQ4=TRUE,IL4=TRUE)). The parameters in the formula include: the presence of a Tick Hammer, the presence of a TRIN Inverted Hammer (Shooting), a TZA FOSC Data Calculation, the TNA BOP value, TZA DEMA-Price/ TZA Weighted Close-Price Calculations, a similar type of TNA calculation, TRIN DEMA-Weighted Close calculations, the TNA Daily FOSC Signal Line value, a TZA Daily FOSC Calculation, the Tick Close, the TNA Demarker, the TZA Demarker, a TRIN Klinger Volume Oscillator Calculation, and the TZA Candlevolume EMV.

Remaining in Cash

No new signals. Lately have been working on "stay in cash signals" utilizing TRIN, VIX & TNA candlesticks such as hammers & inverted hammers (shooting) and the Klinger Volume Oscillator.

The 1350th hit was from New York City

Was iT Colonel Norman Wiard? Norman Wiard, an inventor of some celebrity, made an ice
boat in 1856 and placed it on the river at Prairie du Chien, intending to run between that point and St, Paul, It was elaborately planned and elegantly finished, and resembled somewhat a palace car mounted on steel runners. It failed on account of the roughness of the ice, never making a single trip. It, however, proved somewhat remunerative as a show, and was for some time on exhibition within an inclosure at Prairie du Chien. The Wiard was designed by Canadian-American Norman Wiard. The guns were likely produced by O'Donnell Foundry in New York, using steel casting. Seen here on a standard reproduction carriage, the original guns had an advanced carriage that allowed the gun to elevate higher than normal field guns. The carriage also featured system of chains and shoes for each wheel to aid ascent and descent in broken terrain.

Sell TNA; Buy TZA

TNA'S 2.5% rise was short -lived this AM with the bears winning the fight as the day's doji converted into a spinning top and then into a red candle. By the end of the day the following TZA buy signals flashed: VIX HAMMER BUY TZA, BOP BUY TZA & an HOLD TZA.

Buy TNA

Current signals: TRIN DEMARKER TNA BUY & HOLD TNA FOSC. Richard Arms developed the TRIN indicator (which is also known as the ARMS indicator) in the 1970s. The TRIN indicator is calculated by dividing the Advances/Declines (AD) Issues Ratio by the AD Volume Ratio:TRIN = ((Advancing issues/declining issues) / (advancing volume/declining volume)). The TRIN was developed as a contrarian indicator with the intent of pinpointing the critical levels at which a market becomes overbought or oversold. Generally, a rising TRIN indicates bearish sentiment and a falling TRIN indicates bullish sentiment. The demarker indicator has been explained in a prior post. The TRIN DEMARKER indicator formula utilized also includes the TRIN candlevolume EMV, the TNA BOP, and the daily TNA EMV.
The HOLD TNA FOSC indicator looks for the absence of consolidation on the mean 2h FOSC signals, the presence of a long candle on TNA candlevolume, a positive daily TNA FOSC, daily TNA FOSC signal line and mean 2h TNA FOSC, and a rising successive mean 2h EMV.

SELL TZA

DEMAWT TZA SELL [=AND(S253<0,ABS((EY253-EX253)/EX253)<1.1,ABS((EY253-EX253)/EX253)>0.93,FB252=-1,FC252=-1,FB253=-1,FC253=-1)] & TRIN/TNA Candle Volume BUY TNA [=AND(DK253<30,DK253>-15,AA253>0,ABS(BK253)<15,ABS(AA253-AB253)<2)] Signals flashed late in the day.

Buy TZA

A TNA Bearish 3 Inside Down Candle Pattern Developed today after yesterday's TNA Harami...Buy TZA. see: https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijR_c_WEErgMftK7yqaUsJH2mm5JEbMkEQPIih-BeF1dSzV_JI17YF5JZyGkaXE8ZHCf0kZzO9PLjAiN9aO_qL8W0GhEVSHC6jp6vMta-8Alh76KsoTpGc_5QMPgp2USFBx_iRa4GcvfY/s1600-h/candlestick+reversal+1.png
A tighter TRIN candlevolume top end cut-off was implemented as an ELT to stay the false positive TRIN DEMARKER BUY TNA that signalled yesterday.

Stopped out on TNA

TZA on a big roll, but no buy signal by indicators followed.

BUY TNA

SEE BELOW

ELT modification of TNA High Volume Buy TZA & TZA FOSC Indicators

An ELT was added for yesterday's false positive readings for the above two indicators. The ELT utilized was a value cut-off set higher than the extremely low TNA Demarker value that occurred yesterday. Meanwhile... both TNA & TZA developed non-trended (i.e. no signal) Haramis today. The TRIN DEMARKER BUY TNA signal is positive today, suggesting that TNA is a buy. TNA prices have been pulling back since 1:40PM. TNA prices should be continually monitored this afternoon before buying TNA prior to the market's close. Indicators that turn positive during early trading hours can go negative as the day progresses. Other indicators can turn positive.

Sell TZA 1:55PM

The following signals occurred today: 1. DEMAWT TZA SELL, a signal that utilizes a negative TNA Kagi, the TNA Candlevolume based EMV, TNA BOP cut-off values, the daily TZA FOSC, % TZA volume rise when compared with the prior day, TRIN candlevolume, TZA DEMA-Closing Price and TZA Weighted Close minus Closing Price relationship, TRIN DEMA minus TRIN Weighted Close relationship, and TNA Demarker & TZA Demarker Values;
2. a TRIN top warning; 3. DEMA TRINTOP TZA SELL, a signal that utilizes the TRIN Top warning and many of the parameters utilized for the DEMAWT TZA SELL; 4. HOLD TZA FOSC,a signal that seeks a negative mean 2h & daily TNA FOSC, and a more negative & non-consolidative TNA EMV when compared with the prior day, and;
5. TNA HI VOL BUY TZA. TZA was therefore sold

TZA DEMARKER INDICATOR: BUY TZA 3:38pm (UPDATED)

TNA Down Channel R21 is in progress. A Modified TZA Demarker Signal indicated a TZA Buy today. The Demarker Indicator compares the most recent price action to the previous period's price in an attempt to measure the demand of the underlying asset. This indicator is generally used to identify price exhaustion and can also be used to identify market tops and bottoms. This oscillator is bounded between -100 and +100 and, unlike many other oscillators, it does not use smoothed data. (Investopedia) Technical traders primarily use this indicator as a method of identifying the riskiness of the levels in which they wish to place a transaction. Generally, values above 60 are indicative of lower volatility and risk, while a reading below 40 is a sign that risk is increasing. The modified Signal utilizes 3 successive days of TZA Demarker Values in conjunction with 2 successive days of TZA Balance of Power values. For more info on the Balance of Power Indicator see: http://www.worden.com/legacy/TeleChartHelp/Indicators/Balance_of_Power.htm

21st TNA Down Channel Formed

Since TNA trading began in 11/08, there have been 28 TNA Up Channels and 21 TNA Down Channels. A Channel occurs when 2 or more successive days occur with a unidirectional price change of over 1% per day. A Down Channel began this past Friday. It is desirable to own TNA during Up Channnels & TZA during Down Channels. Indicator formulas are being generated for Channel entry, Channel hold & Channel Exit signals.

Donald G was the 1200th Hit!

Persist Donald...this is gonna pay off good...

11AM SELL TZA

The $TRIN awesome oscillator turned green and an indicator based on DEMA, weighted close, Kagi & prior price signaled a sell.

Hold & Accumulate TZA...usual DISCLAIMER

We may be beginning a new TZA Price Channel. TNA Kagi went red. The DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average) is more sensitive than the EMA or SMA to pick up momentum changes. Excel formula utilized is: =Rounddown(-1000*(TNA DEMA - TNA Closing Price)/TNA Closing Price,2). The result was -3.05 today (similar to a negative, red Kagi). The orange ceiling of the TZA price channel may be forming. Just need the TNA 3LB to turn red. TZA also had a FOSC related buy signal today.

Unidirectional Price Channel Search

Arms & Darvas knew that it is best to avoid periods of consolidation & just trade unidirectional trends. The diagram pictures 2 unidirectional price channels bordered by white areas of consolidation. The columns are as follows: date, percentage % for TNA, $TRIN Kagi, TNA Kagi, TNA Americanbulls.com candlestick signal, TZA Americanbulls.com candlestick signal, TNA 3 Line Break, $NASI, TNA Awesome Oscillator & TZA Awesome Oscillator.