AO/CMO(20) Backbone Predicts Resumption of Uptrend Tommorrow

Northwest Regatta Called On From Paul Krueger: "The 2012 Northwest Regatta has been called on for Green Bay, Wisconsin. Please check back on Wednesday, February 8th at 1:00 PM central time for final confirmation.

TD D WAVE

DeMark puts TNA into Elliot Wave 3

DeMark price projection for Wave 3 = 1.618*(TNA Close on 10/27/11 - Close on 10/3/11)+ Close on 10/3/11= 67.5

Expect Pullback Monday

Signals that lit today: 1. 3 RISING CLOSES, RISING THEN FALLING PRICE R(2) MINUS HA R(2) EQUATION & RISING THEN FALLING PRICE R(1) MINUS HA R(1) EQUATION SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK IN UPTREND (Note: 2 RISING CLOSES, RISING PRICE R(2) MINUS HA R(2) EQUATION & RISING PRICE R(1) MINUS HA R(1) EQUATION BUY TNA SINCE CONTINUATION lit EOD yesterday); 2. 14 DAY MAXIMAL MACD-SIGNAL LINE DIFF SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK; 3. 14 DAY MAXIMAL RSI SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK; 4. 14 DAY MAXIMAL HA RSI SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK; 5. 14 DAY MAXIMAL ACCUMMULATION DISTRIBUTION LINE (ADL) SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR PULLBACK; 6. 14 DAY MAXIMAL OBV SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK; 7. 14 DAY MINIMAL HA RWI HIGH (10) SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK; 8. 14 DAY MAXIMAL TNA WILDER ASI SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK; 9. 1 DAY BEFORE CMO DROPS BELOW -10 SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK; 10. 1 DAY PRIOR TO WALDO 5 SIMILAR CLOSE TO PRIOR DAY SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK; 11. PULLBACK SCREEN 2; 12. FI/HA FI GRID SELL TNA;

The main backbone for most of the signals was 11. "PULLBACK SCREEN 2" which involves 1 falling then two rising TNA closes, 2 days of a rising RSI & HA RSI, an AWESOME OSCILLATOR (AO) DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR of zero & REVERSE AO DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR of 100 for the 3 days,a CMO(20) DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR of 100 & REVERSE CMO(20) DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR of 0 for the 3 days, and alternating % HIGH TO CLOSE RANGE CHANGE DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR & REVERSE % HIGH TO CLOSE RANGE CHANGE DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR for the 3 days. This signal also lit on 10/6/11, 10/12/11 & 1/20/12.

A Precipitating Parameter included a subsequent Waldo 5 day which occured on Light Green line days (see daily TNA chart). Although open & closes were similar, TNA dropped to its low by 3.77% & 2.78% respectively on the two Waldo 5 days.

3 DAYS AFTER & 4 DAYS PRIOR TO 14 DAY MAXIMAL PVI BUY TNA SINCE RESUMPTION OF UPTREND

3 DAYS AFTER & 4 DAYS PRIOR TO 14 DAY MAXIMAL PVI BUY TNA SINCE RESUMPTION OF UPTREND signal lit end of day yesterday in conjunction with 4 GRID signals (two successive days for each GRID type). PVI Formula:Take yesterday's Positive Volume Index; If today's volume is greater than yesterday, add: { ( Close [today] - Close [yesterday] ) / Close [yesterday] } * PVI [yesterday]. Otherwise, add zero.

GRID SIGNALS: 1 & 2. TNA Close fell then rose then fell, PZO DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR at 100 for 3 days, REVERSE PZO DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR at zero for 3 days. The formula for PZO depends on only one condition: If today’s closing price is higher than yesterday’s closing price, then the closing price will have a positive value (bullish); otherwise it will have a negative value (bearish). Price zone oscillator = 100 x (CP/TC) where: CP (Closing position) = X-days Ema (± close) and TC (Total close) = X-days Ema (close) 3 & 4. TNA Close fell then rose then fell, MACD-SIGNAL LINE DIFF DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR at 100 for 3 days, REVERSE MACD-SIGNAL LINE DIFF DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR at zero for 3 days. This signal also lit on 1/4/12 & 10/17/11. Both of these days were within consolidative periods.

Down on Tuesday

Today's GRID was similar GRIDs leading into 8/18/11 (continuation: -5.1%), 8/31/11 (continuation: -6.4%), 9/8/11 (2nd day of pullback): -8.8%), 9/30/11(continuation: -15.5%), 10/31/11 (continuation: -10%) and 11/4/11

(continuation: -0.5%).

GRIDS Signalling Down Day on Monday

The GRIDS have been working better than the formulas (the latter were associated with a blown reversal call on Tuesday). The 14 day maximal PVI (Price Volume Indicator) was the best nidus for evaluation of Friday's TNA close. Other 14 day Maximal PVI days were reviewed for similar GRIDS.

The 1/20/2012 two day GRIDS were similar to 1/12/2012 (pullback in uptrend), 12/6/11 (reversal), 10/24/11 (pullback in uptrend), 10/12/11 (whipsawing consolidation), and 8/30/11 (reversal). These days were also associated with 14 day maximal PVIs. The next day market drop was -1.9%, -0.3%, -8.2%, -0.3% and -0.7%, respectively. Analysis of the 14 DAY MAXIMAL TNA WILDER ASI found 3 more matching days: 9/16/11 (reversal), 10/6/11 (pullback)and 12/27/11 (pullback). The next day market drop was -5.1%, -7.4% and -5.4%, respectively.

Reversal

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s5ID15mv0gA Signals End of Day 1/12/12: 14 DAY MAXIMAL HIGH SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR PULLBACK IN UPTREND; (PRIOR HIGH-CLOSE)/ (OPEN-LOW) RATIO <0.19 WITH RISING PRICE BUT FALLING VOLUME SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR PULLBACK DURING UPTREND WILL OCCUR; RISING WILDER CLOSE, HA & HA RANGE MOMENTUM FACTORS, WILDER CLOSE> WILDER RANGE SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR CONTINUATION;3 DAY LOW GRADIENT > PRIOR 3 DAY HIGH GRADIENT SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK IN UPTREND; Signals EOD 1/13/12:(PRIOR CLOSE-LOW)/ (HIGH-OPEN) WITH FALLING RANGE SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR DOWNWARD CONTINUATION;5 DAY REI SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR CONTINUATION;3 HA RANGES >0 THEN AN HA RANGE <0, FALLING PRICE-VOLUME INDEX SELL TNA SINCE CONTINUATION (ONLY);NEGATIVE CCI(20)/(2 DAY HIGH DIFF + 2 DAY LOW DIFF) RATIO, FALLING CLOSE & POSITIVE CCI SELL TNA CONTINUATION;LOW HI-LOW RANGE/ CLOSE WITH LOW VOLUME SELL TNA;OVERBOUGHT CLOSE-PLDOT OSCILLATOR SELL TNA CONTINUATION (ONLY);TNA REVERSE FRACTAL SELL TNA; Signals EOD 1/17/12:OPENS ABOVE PROJECTED HIGH BY GAPPING UP & HITTING A NEW RECENT HIGH AFTER PRIOR DAY CLOSE>OPEN & RECENT UPTREND SELL TNA SINCE A REVERSAL WILL OCCUR; 14 DAY MAXIMAL HIGH SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR PULLBACK IN UPTREND;DAILY TNA ROC(5)-ROC(3) SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK DURING UPTREND;5 DAY REI SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR CONTINUATION; CLOSE-TYPICAL PRICE SELL TNA SINCE PULLBACK IN UPTREND ; OVERBOUGHT CLOSE-PLDOT OSCILLATOR SELL TNA CONTINUATION (ONLY);NON-TRENDING WITH TRUE DEMARK REI I QUALIFIERS,POSITIVE CLOSE & HA DEMARK II BUYING & SELLING PRESSURE AND 2 FALLING CLOSES SELL TNA SINCE CONTINUATION (ONLY); HA R (1) EQUATION UTILIZED & <2.19 & NEW HA ASI HIGH SELL TNA SINCE REVERSAL OR CONTINUATION ; HA RANGE DEMARKIAN OSCILLATOR >81 & 2 FALLING PRICE VOLUME INDICES SELL TNA SINCE CONTINUATION (ONLY); 2 WIDE RANGE DECLINES AFTER A PEAK: SELL TNA; LOW VOLUME UPTHRUST: PROS ALREADY SOLD OUT WITH NO DEMAND SELL TNA; The RAW EOM GRID Tells It: 8/30/2011 48.165 3.378617195 3.378617195 3 8/31/2011 49.575 2.705356723 2.705356723 3D 9/16/2011 45.81 3.225782559 3.225782559 3 9/19/2011 43.5 -3.892385393 FALSE 3D 1/12/2012 49.615 0.827047225 0.827047225 3 1/13/2012 48.865 -1.750067844 FALSE 3D